Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.544282 7.147060e-01 0.909074 1.144063 1.417408 1.722440 2.085626
2025-04-13 0.291875 4.880777e-01 0.746144 1.095954 1.543667 2.084330 2.773227
2025-04-20 0.163047 3.571065e-01 0.652703 1.097655 1.714504 2.506544 3.567097
2025-04-27 0.089072 2.663478e-01 0.581431 1.104723 1.882098 2.931410 4.391790
2025-05-04 0.041051 1.859476e-01 0.495213 1.064879 1.970132 3.249810 5.093022
2025-05-11 0.015880 1.268049e-01 0.419731 1.019513 2.035355 3.532310 5.753822
2025-05-18 0.005967 9.423032e-02 0.381264 1.025109 2.172935 3.919432 6.569861
2025-05-25 0.001198 6.360326e-02 0.329446 0.991256 2.237601 4.197545 7.239397
2025-06-01 0.000270 5.317672e-02 0.325748 1.050654 2.461444 4.722890 8.277837
2025-06-08 0.000002 3.862682e-02 0.299092 1.054241 2.585292 5.097218 9.106675
2025-06-15 NaN 3.460365e-02 0.307451 1.137070 2.855952 5.710203 10.301782
2025-06-22 NaN 2.856240e-02 0.303241 1.188701 3.071194 6.241497 11.387882
2025-06-29 NaN 2.133628e-02 0.287866 1.212414 3.240171 6.712610 12.409546
2025-07-06 NaN 1.295582e-02 0.253901 1.180369 3.298754 7.006346 13.172690
2025-07-13 NaN 8.712726e-03 0.237573 1.191654 3.442163 7.444169 14.165920
2025-07-20 NaN 5.674209e-03 0.223037 1.204129 3.587414 7.888443 15.177764
2025-07-27 NaN 2.628605e-03 0.194118 1.164414 3.619823 8.140674 15.895728
2025-08-03 NaN 9.091568e-04 0.166114 1.117475 3.630494 8.353136 16.553627
2025-08-10 NaN 3.700880e-04 0.154705 1.124112 3.757347 8.770886 17.543518
2025-08-17 NaN 4.864589e-05 0.133918 1.088398 3.785107 9.012739 18.256237
2025-08-24 NaN 2.415635e-05 0.137867 1.151858 4.043977 9.674411 19.654714
2025-08-31 NaN 3.314408e-07 0.128105 1.155776 4.163842 10.088084 20.659073
2025-09-07 NaN 2.233689e-07 0.137370 1.243953 4.486983 10.877447 22.283887